The World would have looked very very different… don’t believe me !!….read on..

I am sure most of you have heard the saying; a butterfly fluttering her wings in India can cause a hurricane in Canada….

It may not be literally true but it conveys a very deep meaning ….

Meaning that one small insignificant incidence in one place could cause major things to happen somewhere else…

It coveys that coincidence can sometimes change history…

Is it true….well….let’s check it out…join me in the journey of this discovery of coincidence which changed the world.

It was the summer of 1914. Balance of power in Europe was shaky at its best.

Archduke Ferdinand, crown prince, of Austria, was also the Inspector General of Austrio Hungarian Army. The army had decided to hold its military exercises in Sarajevo, the Bosnian capital. Archduke was invited. Serbian nationalists saw this as an insult to them – they wanted to strike back.

In the morning of June 28th Archduke and his wife travelled in an open car. Their motorcade was to take them thru the Serbian area but few proper safety precautions were taken. The security was so poor that their route was also made public to the people.

This was a great opportunity for the seven Bosnian Serbs with Ultra-nationalist called Black Hand to try and assassinate the Duke….they placed themselves along the way…they had strapped explosives to their bodies, carried loaded revolvers and were all equipped with cyanide so they could commit suicide rather than be caught.

As the motorcade rolled along the Appel Quay, a major street running through the centre of Sarajevo, a Bosnian Serb named Nedeljko Čabrinović threw a bomb toward the archduke’s car. The driver was alert and sharp, he quickly managed to accelerate out of the way, and the bomb hit the vehicle behind, injuring several people.

Instead of cancelling the program, Ferdinand decided to act brave and continued his day schedule. They reached the city hall, met people, Ferdinand gave his speech. After Franz Ferdinand made his speech and tended to some official business, he wanted to visit the injured adjutant in the hospital before leaving town.

For security reasons, it was decided that the motorcade should proceed out of the city via the Appel Quay, rather than take its planned route along Franz Joseph Street and into the narrow streets of Sarajevo’s bazaar district.

As chance could have it, the drivers of the cars were Czech and they were being given direction in German. Neither did they understand the instructions nor did anyone bothered to translate them.

As a result, the first car turned onto Franz Joseph Street, followed by the second car, carrying Franz Ferdinand. Amazingly, this wrong turn took them right to where Gavrilo Princip (another of the original party of seven) had stationed himself along the originally published route for the motorcade.

Ferdinand’s security, realising that the Drivers have taken a wrong turn, yelled at the driver that he had taken a wrong turn. The driver, shocked by the yelling, braked the car to a stop……right in front of Princip.

Princip, also confused and shocked by the ease of the opportunity, recovered quickly and fired…… two shots. The shots were perfect; Ferdinand was hit at a point-blank range above the heart, killing Ferdinand on the spot.

This assassination would provide the necessary spark and a nudge to an already fragile balance of power in Europe.

A month after Ferdinand’s death, Austria-Hungary declared war on Serbia.

By 1914, the great powers of Europe were divided into two coalitions: the Triple Entente, consisting of FranceRussia, and Britain; and the Triple Alliance of Germany, Austria-Hungary, and Italy.  Russia felt it necessary to back Serbia and approved partial mobilisation after Austria-Hungary shelled the Serbian capital of Belgrade on 28 July. Full Russian mobilisation was announced on the evening of 30 July; the following day, Austria-Hungary and Germany did the same, while Germany demanded Russia demobilise within twelve hours. When Russia failed to comply, Germany declared war on Russia on 1 August in support of Austria-Hungary, the latter following suit on 6 August; France ordered full mobilisation in support of Russia on 2 August.

And the First World War was on….

It would take only a single crisis—the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, by a young Bosnian Serb nationalist in Sarajevo—to push the continent’s six major powers into World War I, which devastated the continent and killed some 17 million soldiers and civilians.

Read on….the story continues to become even more interesting….

As we all know that Germany lost the war eventually and that lead to the treaty of Versailles.  A treaty in which Germany was humiliated, stripped of its economic abilities, its military was largely disbanded, it was forced to sign the Article 231, later became known as the War Guilt clause. The treaty required Germany to disarm, make ample territorial concessions, and pay reparations to certain countries that had formed the Entente powers. In 1921 the total cost of these reparations was assessed at 132 billion gold marks, roughly equivalent to US$442 billion in 2020).

The German economy went almost bankrupt, the unemployment rate shot thru the roof, German Mark became almost a useless currency. In other words, the life of a German citizen became hell…

Result: Germans became more and more upset due to the series of humiliations being piled on them.

The country was ripe and desperate for a saviour….in walks Hitler….

People loved him; he made all the right promises in the right way….it felt that Germany will once again get what it deserves.

Soon, he was the Dictator of Germany…started what eventually became World War II.

When WW II ended, Europe got divided between Capitalists (led by the US) and Communist (led by USSR).

Cold war happened, leading to ever more dangerous weapons including Nuclear weapons being created,  eventually leading to the collapse of USSR, causing the US to become the only Superpower. This allowed the US to start wars in the Arab region, leading to creating of Terror Organizations (that was the only way radical Islamists could retaliate), World Trade Centre and other acts of terror causing deaths of thousands of innocents all over the world including India.

USSR’s demise led to the rise of China and rest….as we say is history….

Now, let me do what is called a rapid flashback (used in movies quite often)….

If Ferdinand had not travelled in an unsecured car

…and the driver could speak German

…and he had not taken the wrong turn

…and the would-be assassin had not been exactly there at the exact same spot

…and he had missed the aim

…and Ferdinand had not been killed

…and the WW 1 had not started, and Germany was not humiliated thru treaty of Versailles

…and Hitler had not come to power

…and the WW2 had not happened

…and the world had not gotten divided into Capitalists and Communists

…and the cold war and making of dangerous weapons had not happened

…and the US had not become the only global superpower

…and the US had not tried to play dirty in the Arab world

…and Terror groups had not risen

…and terrorism had not engulfed the world

…and China had not become a rival to the US

….and, and and even more and…


I am sure I can’t give you a good answer to my own question, but I can tell you one thing for sure……

The world would have been very different from what it is now….geopolitical, economical and otherwise….

This is what I meant when I talked about the butterfly effect at the beginning of this article…

As they say, a butterfly fluttering her wings in India can cause a hurricane in Canada….

Meanwhile, please do like, comment, share and subscribe to my blog…

Signing off till next time…..Salute’

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Everyone in this world is intelligent

Hi everyone, I have been on a sabbatical from writing for some time now. Hope you missed me or maybe you didn’t…..but I did miss my readers…So, here I go again…

Recently, I read a beautiful story. I am sure it’s an old story but for me it was new…

First the story…

A father said to his son: You graduated with honours, here is a car that I acquired many years ago … it is several years old. But before I give it to you, take it to the used car lot downtown and tell them I want to sell it and see how much they offer you.

The son went to the used car lot, returned to his father and said, “They offered me $ 1,000 because it looks very worn out.”

The father said, “Take him to the pawnshop.”

The son went to the pawnshop, returned to his father and said, “The pawnshop offered $ 100 because it was a very old car.”

The father asked his son to go to a car club and show them the car.

The son took the car to the club, returned and told his father: “Some people in the club offered $ 100,000 for it, since it is an iconic car and sought after by many.

The father said to his son, “I wanted you to know that the right place values ​​you the right way.” … If you are not valued, do not be angry, it means that you are in the wrong place. Those who know your value are those who appreciate you, and never stay in a place where no one sees your value

While this is a beautiful story from an emotional and motivational point of view, this is also true from a scientific point of view.

Many studies have shown and have also challenged the general definition of Intelligence.

For a long time, people used to think of IQ as the measure of a person’s intelligence.

Then later came EQ, which tried to establish a person’s ability to be well adjusted and successful in life by recognizing their own emotions and those of others, differentiate between different feelings, put them in appropriate slots in the mind, and then use this emotional information to guide thinking, behaviour and manage emotions to adjust to the outside environment to achieve one’s goals.

Well, confused? Don’t worry, most of us are….converting many of us into money-making fodder for training/coaching institutes….which supposedly measure and then “improve” our IQ and EQ.

After a lot of researches and studies, the scientists have finally arrived at a big AAha moment…

It has now been understood and widely acknowledged that EVERYONE is intelligent….sounds crazy…right. But hang on.

The findings can be summarised in one line as something like this:

“Everyone in this world is intelligent; it is a question of in which area”.

Let me elaborate by first giving some examples and then further expand on the above statement. Nothing esoteric because then the point will be lost:

  1. We think that scientists and academics are very “brainy”, make them a bank teller and see what happens.
  2. Put a NASA Engineer to do Telemarketing and let’s watch how many sales the Engineer closes
  3. Ask a Doctor to sing…..see for yourself….

I can go on but I am sure you are beginning to get the drift.

For some reason, we all tend to believe that everything is that is out of our reach is automatically intelligent…the problem is with our perception of intelligence is skewed.

While there are many definitions of intelligence but broadly they are divided into the following 9 abilities that make us intelligent beings.

They are:

  1. Musical-rhythmic
  2. Visual-spatial
  3. Verbal-linguistic
  4. Logical-mathematical
  5. Bodily-kinaesthetic
  6. Interpersonal
  7. intrapersonal
  8. Naturalistic
  9. Existential.

Now, it has been seen that unless a person has some disease everyone is good in one or more of the above to varying degrees.

Therefore, when you see, meet or talk about someone and call him dumb…..maybe you are just being dumb yourself…

Err…what I mean is that you are NOT dumb but are BEING DUMB….:-). Hope you have understood.

But in a more serious vein, there is an important lesson for all of us:

  • for the ever anxious parents: If your Kid does not score the highest marks or is not in the top 5 % of the class, it does not mean that he is unintelligent, maybe his intelligence lies elsewhere. Look for that and let him excel in that line
  • For the employees: If some of your employees are not performing to their “potential”, don’t label them as bad. Look for the areas in which they are good and “re-assign” them after proper training
  • Appreciate a good maid, a good janitor…realise that it is not easy for everyone to be a good maid and/or janitor.
  • Realise that every work is important and anyone who can do his/her work well needs to be valued as such.
  • Don’t label some “careers” as better than others…while it may be tough to run a business, it may be even tougher to be a housewife.

I could go on….but I am sure you are getting the drift…

Intelligence is not a reflection of the ability to earn money; it has nothing to do with being popular or well-known. Intelligence and capability are far bigger than all this.

I am sure, if the richest man in the world is asked to cook a meal for a dinner party he/she will be a disaster…..

You know why because his intelligence is limited to the ability to make money not to cook…

Now, what is the bottom line of this article…

  • Respect and Value people’s intelligence for the areas it is in, don’t force-fit them into only a few moulds. Based on our own biases…
  • And if you are the person, evaluate where you are good at and make a life in that area….again don’t force-fit yourself because the “society” wants it that way.

Cheers to this world full of intelligent beings….

If you find the above interesting, please do like, share and subscribe to my blog…

Coming back with another one soon….and looking forward to it.

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